NATSEM Seminar Series
The Farmer Wants a WageFri 23 February 2018Dr Greg Connolly / 11:00am-12:00pmFishbowl, Building 24, University of Canberra
ABOUT THE TALK
There have been so many farmers who have left their farms for a wage-earning job in the cities and the towns over the last five decades that a case can be made that “the farmer wants a wage”. In this presentation, I describe my research findings from an econometric analysis of the determinants of the number of farmers in Australia. The key determinants over the last five decades have been relative earnings and unemployment rates between agriculture and the whole economy, weather conditions (persistent droughts reduce the number of farmers), the number of short-term temporary entrants working in Australia and (in some versions of the model) the rate of trade protection for agriculture. One of the really interesting findings is that in terms of relative earnings, farmers tend not to leave in the bad times, but in the first good year after a persistent run of low relative earnings in agriculture. These findings are potentially useful for forecasting, scenario analysis and the development of policies relating to employment in agriculture.
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Dr Greg Connolly is currently a Research Associate with the Centre for Labour Market Research while he undertakes a short informal sabbatical at the University of Canberra. He also has a long experience of working as an economist in several agencies in the Australian Public Service.
Greg has a Ph.D. in Agricultural Economics from the University of New England in Armidale, NSW. In addition to agricultural economics, he also conducts research in labour economics and macro-economics.
This event is free to attend. You are welcome to forward this invitation to any interested guests.